Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.070132 0.077788 0.086192 0.096147 0.107676 0.120681 0.136561
2024-10-06 0.059263 0.069759 0.082241 0.098374 0.118958 0.144745 0.180152
2024-10-13 0.050324 0.061886 0.076488 0.096682 0.124549 0.162700 0.220857
2024-10-20 0.044915 0.057259 0.073649 0.097677 0.133226 0.186055 0.275181
2024-10-27 0.040298 0.052864 0.070238 0.096963 0.138913 0.205922 0.330021
2024-11-03 0.037230 0.050107 0.068574 0.098271 0.147579 0.232106 0.404308
2024-11-10 0.034684 0.047734 0.067059 0.099402 0.155941 0.259565 0.491524
2024-11-17 0.032200 0.045148 0.064847 0.098961 0.161348 0.282777 0.579680
2024-11-24 0.030416 0.043419 0.063730 0.100106 0.169717 0.313901 0.701618
2024-12-01 0.028871 0.041896 0.062739 0.101264 0.178248 0.347723 0.850026
2024-12-08 0.027457 0.040442 0.061686 0.102114 0.186267 0.382781 1.025458
2024-12-15 0.026032 0.038843 0.060209 0.101934 0.192035 0.414202 1.212985
2024-12-22 0.024549 0.037057 0.058286 0.100728 0.195549 0.441727 1.413719
2024-12-29 0.023705 0.036283 0.058082 0.102930 0.207435 0.497107 1.792782
2025-01-05 0.022377 0.034579 0.056034 0.101066 0.209181 0.523462 2.069650
2025-01-12 0.021547 0.033681 0.055392 0.102092 0.218438 0.577709 2.584475
2025-01-19 0.020568 0.032449 0.054010 0.101323 0.222870 0.617963 3.090471
2025-01-26 0.019920 0.031764 0.053616 0.102705 0.233513 0.686213 3.967931
2025-02-02 0.019299 0.031084 0.053168 0.103901 0.243967 0.759915 5.133122
2025-02-09 0.018550 0.030119 0.052074 0.103433 0.249441 0.816443 6.351045
2025-02-16 0.018022 0.029533 0.051695 0.104646 0.260452 0.905304 8.460893
2025-02-23 0.017528 0.028982 0.051340 0.105874 0.271899 1.005106 11.517664
2025-03-02 0.017037 0.028402 0.050878 0.106776 0.282581 1.110029 15.842372